Quarantine effectiveness during the first and second waves of COVID-19: a cross-sectional and temporal study
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15381/anales.v84i3.25003Keywords:
COVID-19, Quarantine, Mortality, Effectiveness, Pandemic, PeruAbstract
Introduction. The main strategy to face the COVID-19 pandemic was quarantine. Some literature admits its usefulness; on the other hand, other literature emphasizes the harm and risks involved in the application of this measure. Objective. Using weekly and monthly cut-offs of deaths from the first and second waves of COVID-19, the usefulness of quarantine in Peru was evaluated in terms of adherence and effectiveness at the provincial level. Methods. Taking as dependent the number of cases of deaths in each province, the effect of mobility according to different types of places and other covariates on the variable of interest was estimated. Information from the National Center for Epidemiology, Prevention and Disease Control of the Ministry of Health (CDC - MINSA); the National Open Data Platform (PCM - MINSA); data from the National Superintendence of Health (SUSALUD); and aggregate information from Google Analytics were used. A fixed effects model was constructed to estimate effectiveness. Results. In the monthly estimation, during the first and second waves of COVID-19, the covariates and most of the trends in people’s mobility were significant. In the second wave, mobility in parks, supermarkets and pharmacies lost relevance. In the weekly estimation only oxygen availability was not relevant in the second wave; the other independent variables were. Conclusions. The health strategy of quarantine, both in the monthly and weekly estimation, did not have the expected effectiveness, although it achieved adherence.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Anales de la Facultad de Medicina
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Those authors who have publications with this magazine accept the following terms:
- Authors will retain their copyrights and guarantee the journal the right of first publication of their work, which will be simultaneously subject to Creative Commons Attribution License that allows third parties to share the work as long as its author and its first publication this magazine are indicated.
- Authors may adopt other non-exclusive licensing agreements for the distribution of the version of the published work (eg, deposit it in an institutional electronic file or publish it in a monographic volume) provided that the initial publication in this magazine is indicated.
- Authors are allowed and recommended to disseminate their work over the Internet (eg: in institutional telematic archives or on their website) before and during the submission process, which It can produce interesting exchanges and increase quotes from the published work. (See El efecto del acceso abierto ).
