Probabilistic Expert System based on Bayesian Networks for the prediction of cervical cancer

Authors

  • Luis A. Paulino Flores Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Facultad de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Informática. Lima, Perú
  • Ana M. Huayna Dueñas Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Facultad de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Informática. Lima, Perú

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15381/rpcs.v2i1.16360

Keywords:

Predictive models; Bayes methods; Prediction algorithms; Probabilistic Computing

Abstract

Cervical cancer is currently the fourth most frequent type of cancer in women. A large number of techniques from the Artificial Intelligence (AI) such as Neuronal Networks, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Trees and others; have been used to deal with the problem of predicting this disease. The following paper shows the cervical cancer risk prediction, by implementing a probabilistic model based on Bayesian Networks and using 322 instances where we could retrieve 15 different features that are known information from each patient. The tests were made using the 40% of the whole dataset, confusion matrix and AUC indicator. The results show that this work has raised a 96% of success rate as well as 0.9864 in terms of the AUC indicator, in addition to this, the results suggest that Bayesian Networks are able to reach a high performance and provide transparency during the inference process at the same time, something that does not happen in many other techniques, and that they are really efficient to face this sort of prediction problems.

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Published

2019-07-04

Issue

Section

Contribution

How to Cite

Paulino Flores, L. A., & Huayna Dueñas, A. M. (2019). Probabilistic Expert System based on Bayesian Networks for the prediction of cervical cancer. Revista Peruana De Computación Y Sistemas, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.15381/rpcs.v2i1.16360