Mining Exports and their Impact on Peru's Economic Growth: Period 2010-2020
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15381/iigeo.v25i49.23012Keywords:
mining exports, peruvian economic growth, econometrics, metal prices, metal demandAbstract
PIB indicates the economic growth of a country, i.e., the increase in its production capacity from one year to the next. Peru's PIB and exports experienced a growth of 43% and 39% respectively during the period 2010 - 2019. However, due to the 2020 pandemic that led to the suspension of activities between April and May, exports and PIB declined by 13% and 11% respectively. Through econometric analysis and statistical tests, it was possible to show that mining exports have a significant impact on Peru's economic growth. The main destination of exports is: China 40%, Switzerland 8%, Canada 7%, and others such as: India, South Korea, etc. which represent 47% of the total. Therefore, if there is a trade war between China and the U.S., exports will suffer a drop internationally. During the period from 2010 to 2020 mining prices have varied relatively, the price of copper and lead had a drop of 18% and 15% respectively; however, the price of zinc, silver and gold increased by 6%, 2% and 45% respectively.
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Copyright (c) 2022 Steve Oliver Beraun Chaca, Arístides Sotomayor Cabrera, Joyce Evelyn Beraun Chaca
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