Analysis of a Macroeconomic-Multifactor Model for stock marketspost financial crisis 2007 (I)

Authors

  • Carlos Palomino Selem Facultad de Ciencias Económicas de la Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Perú.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15381/pc.v20i2.12153

Keywords:

arbitrage pricing theory, macroeconomic multifactorial generator model, mortgage backed security, non-accelerating inflation rate unemployment, quantitative easing, Dow Jones industrial average

Abstract

In this first paper, we have the purpose of present the theorical fundamentalsand the macroeconomic multifactor modelderived from those; this model isbased on the Balance of Federal Reserve System, applied to explain national stock exchanges’ returns in the USA after financial crisis the 2007.

We propose to work the model using different macroeconomic variables to the original model of The Arbitrage Pricing Theory of Chen-Ross-Roll, and we keep on Shanken’s proxy, the same that we permit to build a model using difference variables to the proposals at the original model.

Of other side, the operational definitions of the variables used in our model, also, differ of established in the original model; in this, the variables are defined as risk premium, in our proposal they are defined as risk premium price.

Author Biography

  • Carlos Palomino Selem, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas de la Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Perú.
    Docente de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas de la UNMSM y director de Grossman Capital Markets. Este es un trabajo que se desarrolla dentro del Programa del Instituto de Investigación Económica de la UNMSM.

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Published

2015-12-31

Issue

Section

Artículos

How to Cite

Analysis of a Macroeconomic-Multifactor Model for stock marketspost financial crisis 2007 (I). (2015). Pensamiento Crítico, 20(2), 145-159. https://doi.org/10.15381/pc.v20i2.12153